My Account Log Out
Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers
Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 19.1 yards.
  • Duvernay has been in the #92 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 78.2% completion rate.
  • Baltimore has played in the #5-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Baltimore is a 9.5 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Duvernay's offensive line has been #7 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Baltimore Ravens have run play-action on 36.3% of their passes this year, #2-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.25 yards per target this season, ranking in the #25 percentile.
  • Green Bay's defense has allowed 145 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#24-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #28-most yards per target (7.55) against the Packers this season.
  • The Packers have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 56.9% of their targets this season, (#32-most in the league).
  • The Baltimore Ravens have had the #24-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Ravens project to run 61.2 plays in this contest, the #26-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to pass 54.1% of the time in this contest (#28 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

  • Duvernay has been on the field for 55.1% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #58 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 58.7% of Baltimore's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #55 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 8.4% -- #45 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Duvernay is projected for 1.4% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #70 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Green Bay Packers cornerbacks rank as the #16 unit in pass coverage.
  • Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the #14 unit in pass coverage.
  • This offense passes the ball 61.1% of the time in a neutral context (#16 in the NFL).
  • The Ravens offensive line has given the QB 2.43 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#13-most time in the league).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Baltimore has faced the #12-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.5%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 16.4 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 47.3% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $0.75. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™