My Account Log Out
 
DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals
 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -115.
PROS:
  • Hopkins has been on the field for 93.6% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #100 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 97.7% of Arizona's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #100 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 20.9% -- #83 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 10.84 yards per target this season, ranking in the #95 percentile.
  • Hopkins has been in the #82 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 74.9% completion rate.
  • Chicago's defense has allowed 175 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#9-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #5-most yards per target (9.37) against the Bears this season.
  • Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the #29 unit in pass coverage.
  • Chicago Bears safeties rank as the #23 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Cardinals project to run 65.0 plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Arizona Cardinals have run play-action on 37.3% of their passes this year, #1-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Hopkins is projected for -3.4% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #28 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Arizona is a 7.5 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 50.5% of the time in this contest (#26 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Arizona has faced the #30-most stacked boxes in the league this year (7.5%).

  • NEUTRAL:
  • The Bears have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 67.2% of their targets this season, (#14-most in the league).
  • The Arizona Cardinals have had the #22-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 61.3% of the time in a neutral context (#17 in the NFL).
  • Hopkins's offensive line has been #15 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

  • PROJECTION:
    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 38.6 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 36.3% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $21.87. It's return on investment would yeild 19%.
     
     
     
    ABOUT WRITENOW™

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
     
     
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™