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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Football Team
Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 279.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 278.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 279.5 @ -115.
  • Prescott has passed for 290 yards per game this year, #3-best in the league.
  • He's been the #6-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 68.9% clip.
  • Efficiency-wise, Prescott has been #7 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.66 yards per target.
  • This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher chance to complete passes.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have had the #2-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Cowboys project to run 66.6 plays in this contest, the #1-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 63.3% of the time in a neutral context (#9 in the NFL).
  • Dak Prescott's offensive line has been #1 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Washington Football Team enter this game with the #28-best pass defense this season, allowing 270 yards per game through the air.
  • The Washington Football Team defense ranks #25-best in football in Yards per Target at 7.99.
  • Washington's linebackers grade out as the #32-best in pass coverage this year.
  • WFT defensive ends have ranked #27 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • CONS:
  • Dallas has played in 9 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#2-most in football), which artificially improves a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.
  • Dallas is a 10.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • WFT defensive tackles have ranked #2 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • This offenses projects to pass 60.8% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys offensive line has given Dak Prescott 2.45 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#17-best in football).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Dallas Cowboys have run play-action on 25.5% of their passes this year, #16-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Dallas have faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).
  • The WFT have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.3% of their targets, ranking #20-best in the NFL.
  • Washington's cornerbacks grade out as the #13-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Washington's safeties grade out as the #17-best in pass coverage this year.
  • WFT linebackers have ranked #22 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Washington Football Team have stacked the box on 13.2% of their plays this season, #20-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

    THE BLITZ sees Prescott putting up 315.9 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 62.4% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $19.07. Its return on investment would yield +17%.

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