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Chase Claypool

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans
Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -115.
  • Claypool has been on the field for 79.1% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #82 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 82.0% of Pittsburgh's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #76 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 20.0% -- #81 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 9.00 yards per target this season, ranking in the #69 percentile.
  • Pittsburgh has played in the #5-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Tennessee's defense has allowed 196 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#2-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #6-most yards per target (9.02) against the Titans this season.
  • The Titans have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 68.8% of their targets this season, (#7-most in the league).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #8-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Claypool's offensive line has been #9 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Steelers offensive line has given the QB 2.39 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#5-most time in the league).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Pittsburgh has faced the #10-most stacked boxes in the league this year (16.1%).

  • CONS:
  • Claypool has been in the #26 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 58.9% completion rate.
  • Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the #3 unit in pass coverage.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run play-action on 19.6% of their passes this year, #30-most in the NFL.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Claypool is projected for -0.2% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #50 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Tennessee Titans cornerbacks rank as the #15 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Steelers project to run 62.5 plays in this contest, the #19-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 61.9% of the time in a neutral context (#13 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 61.5% of the time in this contest (#11 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 52.0 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 49.6% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes the UNDER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the UNDER is -$6.64 and with a negative ROI of -6%.

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