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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -115.
  • Lamb has been on the field for 71.4% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #75 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 83.4% of Dallas's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #78 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 22.3% -- #87 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 9.18 yards per target this season, ranking in the #73 percentile.
  • New York's defense has allowed 171 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#9-most in football).
  • The Dallas Cowboys have had the #2-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Cowboys project to run 68.4 plays in this contest, the #1-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 63.1% of the time in a neutral context (#11 in the NFL).
  • Lamb's offensive line has been #1 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

  • CONS:
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #23-most yards per target (7.87) against the Giants this season.
  • New York Giants cornerbacks rank as the #10 unit in pass coverage.
  • Dallas is a 12.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 55.3% of the time in this contest (#24 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Lamb is projected for -0.5% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #43 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Lamb has been in the #58 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 66.5% completion rate.
  • The Giants have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 67.8% of their targets this season, (#12-most in the league).
  • New York Giants safeties rank as the #20 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Cowboys offensive line has given the QB 2.45 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#17-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Dallas Cowboys have run play-action on 25.5% of their passes this year, #16-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Dallas has faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 62.2 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 46.8% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes the UNDER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the UNDER is -$0.66 and with a negative ROI of -1%.

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