| |
Byron Pringle Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 18
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right now, Byron Pringle Receiving Yards Prop is Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).
The money is on the Under: it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Pringle ranks in the #99 percentile and has put up 11.46 yards per target this season.Pringle's 76.1% completion rate marks him in the #90 percentile among receivers.This year, the Chiefs have played in the #1-most games with 15 mph+ winds. High wind saps wide receiver efficiency and should mean better performance in better conditions.As a unit, the Broncos cornerbacks rank #24 in pass coverage.In a neutral context, Kansas City has run the #11-fastest paced offense this season.The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to run 63.6 plays in this matchup, the #10-most on the game slate.In a neutral context, this offense passes the ball 70.4% of the time (#2 in the NFL).Kansas City's O-Line grades out as the #3-best in the NFL in protecting the passer this season, which impacts how much time their QB has to find Pringle open.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
The Denver Broncos rank #5-highest in the league in Completion% to opposing wide receivers this year at 61.3%.The Chiefs are a 11.5 point favorite. This indicates an extreme rushing game script.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
In terms of playing time, Pringle ranks in the #49 percentile among wide receivers. He has been on the field for 48.1% of his team's snaps this season.In terms of route running, Pringle ranks in the #47 percentile among wide receivers. He has run a route on 51.5% of Kansas City's dropbacks this season.In terms of earning targets, Pringle ranks in the #46 percentile among wide receivers. The QB has looked his way on 8.6% of passes this season.This week, THE BLITZ projects Pringle for a 2.9% higher target share than he has garnered this season (perhaps due to team injuries, a change in role, or matchup dynamics), one of the most notable differences of the week.The Broncos's pass defense ranks #13-best in the NFL against wide receivers, allowing 152 yards per game this season.The Denver Broncos have allowed 7.89 yards per target to opposing wide receivers this year: #11-highest among NFL opponents.As a unit, the Broncos safeties rank #22 in pass coverage.THE BLITZ projects Kansas City to drop back to pass on 61.6% of their plays in this game (#15-highest rate of the week) based on their tendencies and matchup-specific factors.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ projects Pringle to exceed his player prop total 55.0% of the time. He projects for 35.4 Receiving Yards (on average) in this matchup.
According to THE BLITZ, there is positive value on the OVER, with an expected value of $3.29. That makes its return on investment yield +3%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
