My Account Log Out
 
Byron Pringle

Byron Pringle Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
 
 
 
Byron Pringle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-115) with an implied projection of 23.8 yards.

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
PROS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 12.24 yards per target this season, ranking in the #99 percentile.
  • Pringle has been in the #91 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 79.3% completion rate.
  • Kansas City has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the #27 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have had the #4-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 71.3% of the time in a neutral context (#2 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 62.7% of the time in this contest (#9 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Pringle's offensive line has been #1 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

  • CONS:
  • The Broncos have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 59.9% of their targets this season, (#30-most in the league).
  • Kansas City is a 8.5 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Kansas City has faced the #31-most stacked boxes in the league this year (5.8%).

  • NEUTRAL:
  • Pringle has been on the field for 40.5% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #40 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 44.4% of Kansas City's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #40 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 6.9% -- #39 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Pringle is projected for 2.4% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #86 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Denver's defense has allowed 162 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#13-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #20-most yards per target (8.00) against the Broncos this season.
  • Denver Broncos safeties rank as the #16 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Chiefs project to run 62.0 plays in this contest, the #21-most of the week.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Kansas City Chiefs have run play-action on 25.4% of their passes this year, #17-most in the NFL.

  • PROJECTION:
    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 29.4 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 56.6% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $4.56. It's return on investment would yeild 4%.
     
     
     
    ABOUT WRITENOW™

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
     
     
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™