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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Washington Football Team vs Dallas Cowboys
Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -115.
  • The Washington Football Team offensive line has ranked #6 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • He has been on the field for 56.1% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #84 percentile among running backs.
  • He has received 60.2% of Washington's carries this year -- #12 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Gibson is projected for 14.5% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • The WFT project to run 65.1 total plays in this contest, the #4-most of the week.
  • This offense runs the ball 40.6% of the time in a neutral context (#11 in the NFL), and they project to run 40.6% of the time in this contest.
  • Cowboys defensive tackles have ranked #32 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Cowboys linebackers have ranked #29 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Washington Football Team have faced a stacked box 5.3% of the time this season -- #32-most in football.

  • CONS:
  • Gibson has been the #8-leading rusher this season, tallying 67 yards per game on the ground.
  • Washington has played in the #4-most bad-weather games (rain, snow, or 15 mph+) this year. Teams tend to run the ball more in bad-weather conditions, artificially inflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • The Washington Football Team have had the #23-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Washington is a 6.0 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • Cowboys defensive ends have ranked #10 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.

  • This offenses projects to runs 40.6% of the time in this contest (#12 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have ranked #13 against the run this year, holding opponents to 108 yards per game on the ground.
  • In terms of efficiency, Dallas's defense has allowed 4.51 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#17-least in football).
  • Cowboys safeties have ranked #18 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 15.1% of the time this season, ranking as the #15 most in the league.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 88.7 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 58.3% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $10.32. It's return on investment would yeild 9%.

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