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Amari Cooper Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 16
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Football Team
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Amari Cooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-115/-115).
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PROS:
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Cooper has been on the field for 66.9% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #68 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 84.7% of Dallas's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #79 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 18.0% -- #75 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.In terms of efficiency, he has put up 9.86 yards per target this season, ranking in the #89 percentile.Cooper has been in the #73 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 69.4% completion rate.This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher chance to complete passes.Washington's defense has allowed 181 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#3-most in football).Opposing wideouts have put up the #8-most yards per target (8.84) against the WFT this season.The WFT have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 70.0% of their targets this season, (#4-most in the league).The Dallas Cowboys have had the #2-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.The Cowboys project to run 66.6 plays in this contest, the #1-most of the week.This offense passes the ball 63.3% of the time in a neutral context (#9 in the NFL).Cooper's offensive line has been #1 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
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CONS:
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Dallas is a 10.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
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NEUTRAL:
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Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Cooper is projected for 0.5% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #61 percentile among wide receivers.Washington Football Team cornerbacks rank as the #13 unit in pass coverage.Washington Football Team safeties rank as the #17 unit in pass coverage.This offenses projects to pass 60.8% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Cowboys offensive line has given the QB 2.45 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#17-most time in the league).Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Dallas Cowboys have run play-action on 25.5% of their passes this year, #16-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Dallas has faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 64.3 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 59.1% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $12.11. It's return on investment would yeild 11%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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