Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2026

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic · Apr 5, 2026

Updated Apr 5, 2026 10:08 PM EST

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-112/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zion Williamson has tallied 25.3 points per game over the last 12 games when playing at home, 4.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 6th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one; when the Magic are the visiting team, they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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