Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2026

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 3, 2026

Updated Apr 3, 2026 10:49 PM EST

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+127/-257).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +127 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the Kings, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

In terms of treys, the New Orleans Pelicans's poor 34.6% rate of converted threes places 6th-lowest in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-weakest in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.

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