Zion Williamson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2026

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Zion Williamson

NBA · Player Props

Zion Williamson

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2026

Updated Mar 29, 2026 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zion Williamson has posted 25.3 points per game over the last 12 games playing at home, 3.9 higher than he's posted overall this year at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year in terms of shots from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.7%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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