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Ziaire Williams

Ziaire Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2024

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Ziaire Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-fastest pace road team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.

The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has snagged 9.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Ziaire Williams has converted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 20.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 41.7% rate, Ziaire Williams's scoring effectiveness has fallen this year to 35.0%.

Ziaire Williams has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (75th percentile).

The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (38.5).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Grizzlies.

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