Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 2.8 mark, Zach LaVine's three-pointers made have jumped this season to 3.2 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Zach LaVine places in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 35.0 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team has collected 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise result in additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine places in the 90th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a whopping 0.1 fouls per game on the road this year.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 11.1 points per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA while playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.