Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has converted 11.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this year without the home court advantage.
Zach LaVine has converted 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Zach LaVine has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The matchup against Charlotte is a favorable one for field goals; when the Hornets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (49.4%).

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Hornets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the league).
Zach LaVine will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance across the board.