Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has averaged 28.7 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 more than he's averaged overall this season.
Zach LaVine has played 34.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one for shots from the field; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.3).
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should raise plays for the Bulls.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the league).