Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has averaged 24.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 97th percentile.
Zach LaVine has tallied 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bulls.

Favors Under

Zach LaVine has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least 3-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (1.6).
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Denver may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (10th-least in the NBA).
Zach LaVine will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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