Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 8:43 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has averaged 22.7 points per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
Zach LaVine has tallied 33.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most threes per game in the league this year (2.1).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Zach LaVine has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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