Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has converted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's sunk overall this season when playing away from home.
Zach LaVine has sunk 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's made from three overall this year away from his home court.
Zach LaVine has attempted 10.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Zach LaVine has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

Favors Under

The Hornets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a difficult one; on their home court they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.8).
The matchup against the Hornets is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game while playing at home this year (8th-least in the NBA).
Zach LaVine will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player production across the board.

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