Zach LaVine Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach LaVine Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has compiled 4.6 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the league's best by this metric recently: 89th percentile.
Zach LaVine has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Zach LaVine has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Hornets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Zach LaVine will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player production across the board.

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