Zach Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2025

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Zach Collins

NBA · Player Props

Zach Collins

F-C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 6, 2025

Updated Mar 7, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach Collins has sunk 64.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 16.6% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing on the road.
Zach Collins has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 18.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Bulls have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league as the away team this year.
Zach Collins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this year while playing on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a hard one for shots from the field; when Carter Jr. is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a lowly 4.3 baskets per game (12th percentile).
The Bulls will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 5thworst in in the league away from home with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Zach Collins will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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