Zach Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Zach Collins

NBA · Player Props

Zach Collins

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost possessions for the Spurs.
Zach Collins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Favors Under

Zach Collins has attempted a mere 1.5 threes per game this year, significantly less than his 2.6 mark last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Zach Collins comes in at the 24th percentile for playing time, totaling a lowly 14.0 minutes per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Zach Collins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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