Zach Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Zach Collins

NBA · Player Props

Zach Collins

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 7:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been bad at getting to the foul line while playing on the road: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 19.1 foul shot attempts per game.
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; when the Rockets are on their home court, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 29.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the league).

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