Zach Collins Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Zach Collins

NBA · Player Props

Zach Collins

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach Collins has converted 79.2% of his treys over the last 5 games, 47.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
This year, their opposition has shot 34.6% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).

Favors Under

Zach Collins has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Zach Collins should experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this contest.

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