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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Assists
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has posted a terrific 3.8 assists per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.9 assists per game last season.

Zach Collins has played a whopping 29.2 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 22.4 minutes per game last year.

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Zach Collins figures to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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