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Yuta Watanabe

Yuta Watanabe Points
Player Prop - 11/2/2023

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs

Yuta Watanabe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which should boost plays for the Suns.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.5 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Yuta Watanabe stands to see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Yuta Watanabe measures in the 11th percentile for shooting effectiveness on his home court with a an unimpressive 26.2% rate since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the other team has averaged 38.8% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Yuta Watanabe has made 68.9% of his foul shot attempts without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the league.

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season, drawing a measly 21.9 foul shots per game.

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