Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has converted 68.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.3% more than he's converted overall this year while playing on the road.
Xavier Tillman has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 44.3% more than he's converted in all games this season when playing away from home.
Xavier Tillman has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the league (14th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has played 10.8 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 17th percentile.
The matchup against the Kings is a hard one for shots from the field; while playing at home, opposing squads have shot for the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.3%).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Kings is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
Xavier Tillman will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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