Wendell Carter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Wendell Carter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 8.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Wendell Carter Jr. has made 53.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 15.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing at home.
Wendell Carter Jr. has played 29.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Magic.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.2).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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