Wendell Carter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

NBA · Player Props

Wendell Carter Jr.

C-F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Wendell Carter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +196 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. comes in at the 75th percentile for three-point ability with a an excellent 38.0% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Nic Claxton is a strong one for treys; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 38.4% of their three-pointers (90th percentile).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Wendell Carter Jr. should see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Wendell Carter Jr. has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).
The Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year in regard to shots from downtown.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has tallied 14.0 three-pointers per game (5th-most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making this a good matchup.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic.