Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2024

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz · Nov 7, 2024

Updated Nov 7, 2024 9:23 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 67.2% of his field goals while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
When facing fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez rates in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.5 threes attempted against him per game since the start of last season.
The 6th-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 8th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Jazz rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler comes in at the 9th percentile for free-throw ability away from his home court with a poor 59.2% rate since the start of last season.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been remarkably low since the start of last season (2.5 foul shots per game: 4th percentile).
Walker Kessler will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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