Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 68.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.2% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Jazz check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team has totaled the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (14.5).
Walker Kessler has sunk 47.2% of his free throws away from home this year, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 26.4 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.
Walker Kessler ought to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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