Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 2:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jazz will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Pelicans (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Walker Kessler will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has successfully made a lowly 51.6% of his shots from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 71.3 mark last season.
The Jazz rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are away from home, the other team has totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (39.8).
Relative to last year's 54.8% clip, Walker Kessler's free-throw efficiency has regressed this year to 50.0%.

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