Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk 5.3 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Walker Kessler has tallied 26.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This matchup is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has attempted 0.0 treys per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease possessions for the Jazz.
While on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games (3rd-least in the league).