Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has attempted 16.5 field goals per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
The Spurs rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league without the home court advantage this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The 4th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Victor Wembanyama has sunk 94.4% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.7% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game this year when the Clippers have the home court advantage (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Victor Wembanyama has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 22.1% on three-pointers (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Clippers, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.9 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers (maintaining possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).