Victor Wembanyama Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has totaled 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's totaled in all games this season.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Victor Wembanyama will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

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