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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2025

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 35.6 minutes per game this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.

In contrast to last season's 2.3 clip, Tyler Herro's foul shots scored have spiked this season to 3.5 per game.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.1 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Warriors, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has attempted and missed 5.8 three-point attempts per game this season, quite a bit more than his 5.0 rate last season.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (21.6%).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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