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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 20.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

In contrast to last season's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's three-point attempts have jumped this season to 9.7 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 threes per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 7th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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