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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.6 3-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 8.1 rate last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

In regard to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% more than he's made overall this year at home.

Tyler Herro will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.9 three attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic, designating this as a hard matchup.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Orlando is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Magic are the visiting squad (3rd-least in the NBA).

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