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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 94th percentile, totaling a massive 24.0 points per game this year.

Tyler Herro has converted 4.2 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year.

The Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, marking this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

Tyler Herro figures to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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