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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's terrific 37.4% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-most in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a strong one for threes; the other team has posted the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.3%).

The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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