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Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Tyler Herro has attempted 17.7 shots from the field per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 97th percentile for 3-pointers made away from his home court, registering 3.1 per game this year.Tyler Herro has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The matchup against Washington is a difficult one; when the Washington Wizards are at home, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (10.9).The most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.This year, the other team has brought down 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Washington Wizards, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
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