Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.1 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's impressive 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Tyler Herro will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (83rd percentile).
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.6).
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 14.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).