Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.8 minutes per game on the road this year.
In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.4% rate of drained threes ranks 3rd-most in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 3.2 three-pointers per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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