Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-179/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 treys per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.3 rate last year.
Tyler Herro has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a good one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (7.1).

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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