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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-152/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has posted 4.5 assists per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category in recent games.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

Over the last 20 games, the other team has captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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