Trey Murphy III Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2026

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Trey Murphy III

NBA · Player Props

Trey Murphy III

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 3, 2026

Updated Apr 3, 2026 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Sacramento may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Sacramento Kings are at home (7th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of treys, the New Orleans Pelicans's poor 34.6% rate of converted threes places 6th-lowest in the league this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.

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