Trey Murphy III Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2026

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Trey Murphy III

NBA · Player Props

Trey Murphy III

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 11, 2026

Updated Mar 11, 2026 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The most up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the New Orleans Pelicans's lackluster 10.4 drained threes per game on their home court measures as the fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against Toronto is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Raptors are away from home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.3).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which should decrease possessions for the Pelicans.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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