Trey Murphy III Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2026

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Trey Murphy III

NBA · Player Props

Trey Murphy III

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Washington Wizards · Mar 8, 2026

Updated Mar 8, 2026 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-129/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have put up 16.9 points per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, marking this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year in terms of shots from downtown.

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