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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Lyles has made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from three in all games this season.
  • The Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for threes; opposing squads have averaged the 3rd-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (11.4).
  • The 2nd-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • Trey Lyles has converted 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk overall this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Trey Lyles comes in at the 78th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
  • The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
  • With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted 24.0 free throws per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

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