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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Lyles has successfully made 41.8% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 8.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted just 17.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are playing at home (least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles slots into the 80th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year.

This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are at home, their opposition has totaled the most three-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.0).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.

Relative to last season's 76.9% rate, Trey Lyles's foul-shot effectiveness has dropped this season to 66.7%.

As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been poor at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, totaling a measly 18.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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