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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Lyles has successfully made 41.8% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 8.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
  • The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • While on their home court, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted just 17.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are playing at home (least in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles slots into the 80th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year.
  • This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are at home, their opposition has totaled the most three-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.0).
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.
  • Relative to last season's 76.9% rate, Trey Lyles's foul-shot effectiveness has dropped this season to 66.7%.
  • As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been poor at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, totaling a measly 18.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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